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Published March 04, 2013, 09:43 PM

Is Spring flooding more likely after recent snow storms?

Fargo, ND (WDAY TV) -- The State Climatologist is predicting this precipitation pattern we've fallen into, will continue. It comes as the area is getting hit with snow today, and after our recent storms drastically upped the chances for major flooding on the Red River this spring.

Fargo, ND (WDAY TV) -- The State Climatologist is predicting this precipitation pattern we've fallen into, will continue. It comes as the area is getting hit with snow today, and after our recent storms drastically upped the chances for major flooding on the Red River this spring.

The big question is, will we get enough precipitation to overcome that fall and early winter dry spell? Sounds like we could, but it'll take a lot more than what we got today.

State Climatologist Adnan Akyuz broke down some numbers for us today, for the near future, he sees more snow coming our way.

Adnan: "when the wetness starts we keep getting these storms back to back,

this is going to be the story for the coming 16 day period and even into a month the climate prediction center expects our area to be wetter than normal."

But nothing coming looks like a game changer, he projects Fargo's winter will end with an average snow total, right around 50 inches. And says we'd need much more than that to cause major flooding because of how dry fall was.

Adnan: "soil is so hungry for moisture and as soon as it thaws that moisture is going to move vertical into the soil "

Here's a good graphic for gaging spring flooding. It maps precipitation from September to May. That green line up top is the path toward the historic '09 flood. The blue line is where we stand today, you can see it's smack dab between the driest year on record and an average year.

But with an upped flood forecast, a section of the commission meeting looked like flood season. Department heads going over flood preparations.

Mayor Dennis Walaker/Fargo: "it's better to be safe than sorry in any and all of these issues, we'll wait and see and that's the only thing, I mean it's still March and the worst floods we've had are in April."

Only twice has our area seen a dry fall like 2012 turn into major flooding on the red come spring.

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