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Published November 15, 2011, 06:45 PM

Does dry fall weather mark the end of the wet cycle?

Fargo, ND (WDAY TV) - Even with a little snow and rain the last couple of days, we're running nearly 4 inches below average for precipitation this fall in Fargo. Is this the end of our wet cycle we've been in for nearly 20 years?

Even with a little snow and rain the last couple of days, we're running nearly 4 inches below average for precipitation this fall in Fargo. Is this the end of our wet cycle we've been IN for nearly 20 years?

Our dry weather this fall has meant that farmers around the region have been able to get there crops off the field much faster than they have the last several years. The US Drought Monitor has even moved Eastern North Dakota and Western Minnesota into the abnormally dry category. But we have seen dry periods like this recently.

Daryl Ritchison – StormTRACKER Meteorologist: “Since this wet phase started in the early 90's there have been more dry periods like we are currently experiencing then people think.

In the summer of 2006 we were also nearly 4 inches below average for rainfall, and the fall of 2003 was dry with rainfall about an inch and a half below average. So how will we know when a dry phase is starting?

Daryl Ritchison: “I don't think we would know when we were at the end of a wet period for 4 or 5 years after the dry phase actually started.”

The forecast from the Climate Prediction Center is calling for above average precipitation this winter, indicated here by the green. This fall is likely just a short term dry patch. There were also several dry stretches back in the 90's.

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